Holden Karnofsky

karma rank #30 · 8,898 karma · 10 posts sampled · profile ↗

Top cause areas

longtermism xrisk 5.1 +1.3σ
ea meta 4.7 -0.4σ
prioritization 4.6 +1.1σ
ai safety 4.2 +1.9σ
Show all 15 cause areas
forecasting epistemics 3.3 +0.9σ
effective giving 3.3 +0.5σ
rationalist meta 2.3 +0.7σ
ai governance 2.2 +1.2σ
moral circle values 2.0 +0.5σ
global health 1.4 +0.1σ
mental health 0.3 -0.2σ
nuclear great power 0.2 -0.3σ
animal welfare 0.0 -0.7σ
biosecurity 0.0 -0.8σ
climate 0.0 -0.7σ

Distinguishing dimensions z-score vs top-30 cohort

▲ stance_ai_doom_axis +2.4σ
▲ tone_humility +2.4σ
▲ style_personal_narrative +2.0σ
▼ stance_suffering_focused -0.9σ
▼ cause_biosecurity -0.8σ

Style quantitative / empirical / philosophical / speculative / operational / contrarian

quantitative 3.8 -0.1σ
empirical 3.9 +0.1σ
philosophical 5.4 +1.3σ
speculative 6.2 +1.9σ
operational howto 4.3 -0.2σ
critical contrarian 3.9 +0.1σ
Show all 9 style dims
personal narrative 4.0 +2.0σ
synthesizing 6.7 +1.2σ
question asking 2.4 -0.3σ

Stance signature top 3 stance dims furthest from neutral (5)

inside ea 8.2 +0.5σ
ea org coded 7.9 +1.3σ
longtermist framing 7.2 +1.0σ
Show all 9 stance dims
optimism ea institutions 6.5 +0.8σ
ai doom axis 6.3 +2.4σ
rationalist coded 6.0 +0.7σ
suffering focused 4.7 -0.9σ
animal moral status 5.0 -0.7σ
welfarist vs rights 5.0 -0.7σ

Tone

combativeness 1.6 -0.3σ
calibration 8.0 +1.6σ
jargon 5.3 +0.3σ
humility 7.3 +2.4σ

Quality

rigor 7.4 +1.1σ
originality 6.7 +1.1σ
clarity 8.3 +0.6σ

Neighbors in dimension space

Nearest: Owen Cotton-Barratt

Foil: Nathan Young

Most characteristic post

Call to Vigilance

baseScore: 97

This is the final piece in the "most important century" series, which has argued that there's a high probability[1] that the coming decades will see: - The development of a technology like PASTA (process for automating scientific and technological advancement). - A resulting productivity explosion leading to development of further transformative technologies. - The seed of a stable galaxy-wide civilization, possibly featuring digital people, or possibly run by misaligned AI.…

Highest-karma post in sample

Useful Vices for Wicked Problems

baseScore: 121