Ozzie Gooen

karma rank #16 · 12,257 karma · 10 posts sampled · profile ↗

Top cause areas

ea meta 4.6 -0.5σ
forecasting epistemics 3.2 +0.8σ
prioritization 2.8 -0.1σ
rationalist meta 2.3 +0.7σ
Show all 15 cause areas
effective giving 2.2 -0.2σ
global health 0.3 -0.7σ
longtermism xrisk 0.3 -1.0σ
ai safety 0.2 -0.8σ
ai governance 0.1 -0.7σ
animal welfare 0.0 -0.7σ
biosecurity 0.0 -0.8σ
nuclear great power 0.0 -0.6σ
mental health 0.0 -0.4σ
climate 0.0 -0.7σ
moral circle values 0.0 -1.0σ

Distinguishing dimensions z-score vs top-30 cohort

▲ style_speculative +0.9σ
▲ cause_forecasting_epistemics +0.8σ
▲ stance_rationalist_coded +0.7σ
▼ quality_rigor -2.0σ
▼ quality_clarity -1.6σ

Style quantitative / empirical / philosophical / speculative / operational / contrarian

quantitative 3.6 -0.3σ
empirical 1.6 -1.3σ
philosophical 3.5 -0.2σ
speculative 5.1 +0.9σ
operational howto 4.1 -0.4σ
critical contrarian 3.8 +0.0σ
Show all 9 style dims
personal narrative 2.4 -0.1σ
synthesizing 4.0 -1.1σ
question asking 3.5 +0.6σ

Stance signature top 3 stance dims furthest from neutral (5)

inside ea 7.2 -0.8σ
rationalist coded 6.0 +0.7σ
ea org coded 5.8 -1.1σ
Show all 9 stance dims
optimism ea institutions 5.3 -0.8σ
longtermist framing 5.2 -0.4σ
ai doom axis 4.9 -0.9σ
animal moral status 5.0 -0.7σ
welfarist vs rights 5.0 -0.7σ
suffering focused 5.0 -0.3σ

Tone

combativeness 2.0 +0.4σ
calibration 6.6 +0.3σ
jargon 4.6 -0.6σ
humility 6.1 +0.4σ

Quality

rigor 4.1 -2.0σ
originality 5.8 +0.3σ
clarity 7.6 -1.6σ

Neighbors in dimension space

Nearest: Nathan Young

Foil: David_Moss

Most characteristic post

How to estimate the EV of general intellectual progress

baseScore: 40

Some possible setups: - Say an intervention costs $10,000,000.00, and speeds up the field of information theory by 1% per year for 10 years. - Say a great paper is written in information theory that gets N citations. What are some reasonable approaches to estimating the expected values of such setups?…

Highest-karma post in sample

Flimsy Pet Theories, Enormous Initiatives

baseScore: 213